Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.538465 0.681949 0.836379 1.013019 1.207705 1.414175 1.648205
2025-03-09 0.294954 0.475092 0.690777 0.958078 1.272111 1.622492 2.036751
2025-03-16 0.181048 0.366092 0.608792 0.927882 1.318927 1.768921 2.313901
2025-03-23 0.121954 0.310505 0.579427 0.950382 1.419612 1.971537 2.650993
2025-03-30 0.076065 0.257581 0.541747 0.952736 1.487988 2.129825 2.931074
2025-04-06 0.040097 0.204380 0.493124 0.932776 1.522526 2.243081 3.154522
2025-04-13 0.026466 0.188166 0.496261 0.980518 1.641391 2.457415 3.497144
2025-04-20 0.016643 0.174403 0.500340 1.027684 1.758290 2.668599 3.835582
2025-04-27 0.010340 0.165321 0.510226 1.081988 1.883868 2.890182 4.186461
2025-05-04 0.008100 0.169178 0.542481 1.169058 2.053192 3.166660 4.604348
2025-05-11 0.004318 0.160830 0.551120 1.220187 2.173892 3.381983 4.947844
2025-05-18 0.000822 0.140357 0.533880 1.230432 2.238173 3.525449 5.203102
2025-05-25 NaN 0.101420 0.474731 1.176098 2.217646 3.567291 5.342485
2025-06-01 NaN 0.067133 0.413757 1.113218 2.182348 3.589013 5.457042
2025-06-08 NaN 0.046369 0.375060 1.081414 2.186682 3.658390 5.627271
2025-06-15 NaN 0.038874 0.369750 1.105551 2.270839 3.831800 5.927730
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029193 0.353208 1.108173 2.322686 3.962107 6.173595
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018339 0.324773 1.086518 2.337201 4.041996 6.355080
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017368 0.335836 1.138244 2.461062 4.267641 6.721604
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016404 0.346528 1.189250 2.583940 4.492143 7.086931
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016270 0.361165 1.247876 2.718436 4.732405 7.472587
2025-07-27 NaN 0.019729 0.394024 1.341666 2.906171 5.044267 7.949709
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019137 0.406629 1.396631 3.035476 5.277988 8.327582